YEARLY HIGH
1.5092 BTN
YEARLY LOW
1.3052 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4211 BTN

2018 GMD to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 1.5092. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 1.3052.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2040 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3257 to the December average rate of 1.4282, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5092 was down 5.36% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.5947, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,546 BTN
2017 Average 7,109 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 6,526 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,020.08 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5035
1.3095
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3862, compared to 1.4559 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0697 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3862
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4559

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0773 BTN (High: 1.4844 / Low: 1.4070). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0163 BTN (High: 1.3813 / Low: 1.3651).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0773
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0373 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0373

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.4846) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.3985), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0861 (+6.15%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.4846
2017 Avg (September) 1.3985

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3424 1.3052 1.3257
February 1.3803 1.3311 1.3599
March 1.3813 1.3651 1.3745
April 1.4179 1.3688 1.3905
May 1.4477 1.4104 1.4308
June 1.4583 1.4188 1.4360
July 1.4605 1.4243 1.4397
August 1.4770 1.4244 1.4458
September 1.5092 1.4708 1.4846
October 1.5029 1.4718 1.4873
November 1.4844 1.4070 1.4500
December 1.4517 1.4106 1.4282