YEARLY HIGH
0.5238 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.4558 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4742 MDL

2016 GMD to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 0.5238. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 0.4558.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0680 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5146 to the December average rate of 0.4700, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5238 was up 0.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5187, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,619 MDL
2015 Average 2,286 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 2,279 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 340.02 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5200
0.4550
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4829, compared to 0.4656 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0173 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4829
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4656

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0540 MDL (High: 0.5111 / Low: 0.4571). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0033 MDL (High: 0.4648 / Low: 0.4616).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0540
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0033

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0269 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0269

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.5146) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3880), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1266 (+32.64%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.5146
2015 Avg (January) 0.3880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5238 0.4994 0.5146
February 0.5146 0.5043 0.5086
March 0.5111 0.4571 0.4873
April 0.4641 0.4558 0.4604
May 0.4693 0.4592 0.4632
June 0.4689 0.4585 0.4632
July 0.4648 0.4616 0.4632
August 0.4654 0.4589 0.4622
September 0.4655 0.4609 0.4632
October 0.4708 0.4614 0.4654
November 0.4761 0.4641 0.4696
December 0.4754 0.4635 0.4700