YEARLY HIGH
173.8600 UZS
YEARLY LOW
161.1596 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
167.9237 UZS

2018 GMD to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 173.8600. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 17, dropping to 161.1596.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.7004 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 169.6959 to the December average rate of 168.2317, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.86% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 173.8600 was down 1.76% compared to the 2017 peak of 176.9707, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 869,300 UZS
2017 Average 554,183 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 805,798 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 63,502.16 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

174.1642
161.0382
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 170.8137, compared to 165.0337 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.7801 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 170.8137
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 165.0337

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 5.0989 UZS (High: 167.1826 / Low: 162.0836). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3775 UZS (High: 171.9313 / Low: 170.5538).

July Spread (Volatile) ±5.0989
April Spread (Stable) ±1.3775

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.1090 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1090

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 173.0704) against the same month in 2017 (average: 74.6641), the exchange rate shifted by +98.4063 (+131.80%).

2018 Avg (February) 173.0704
2017 Avg (February) 74.6641

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 171.7710 167.6859 169.6959
February 173.8600 170.6539 173.0704
March 173.4530 170.8407 172.4561
April 171.9313 170.5538 171.3541
May 171.4366 169.4879 170.3707
June 170.1781 166.8941 167.9352
July 167.1826 162.0836 163.8262
August 163.0964 161.6307 162.1320
September 165.8986 161.1596 163.6265
October 166.9476 163.0887 165.6210
November 167.7869 165.6945 166.7646
December 169.3321 167.3935 168.2317