2012 GMD to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1499 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.1257 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1383 VEF

2012 GMD to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GMD to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.1499. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 0.1257.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0243 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1449 to the December average rate of 0.1384, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1499 was down 7.92% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 750 VEF

2011 Average 763 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 628 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 121.30 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1468

0.1265

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1421, compared to 0.1345 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1421

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1345

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.0178 VEF (High: 0.1440 / Low: 0.1262). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 VEF (High: 0.1308 / Low: 0.1281).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0178

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0049 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.1449) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1550), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0101 (-6.53%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.1449

2011 Avg (January) 0.1550

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1499	0.1417	0.1449
February	0.1461	0.1385	0.1415
March	0.1458	0.1391	0.1408
April	0.1482	0.1427	0.1451
May	0.1431	0.1390	0.1414
June	0.1425	0.1362	0.1390
July	0.1390	0.1347	0.1365
August	0.1368	0.1281	0.1349
September	0.1308	0.1281	0.1299
October	0.1308	0.1257	0.1282
November	0.1440	0.1262	0.1390
December	0.1442	0.1319	0.1384