2011 GNF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0160 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0105 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0129 KES

2011 GNF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GNF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.0160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 0.0105.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0054 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0112 to the December average rate of 0.0125, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0160 was down 1.97% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0163, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GNF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80 KES

2010 Average 72 KES

Yearly Trough Low 53 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27.16 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0153

0.0107

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GNF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0119, compared to 0.0138 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0019 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0119

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0138

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0015 KES (High: 0.0146 / Low: 0.0131). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 KES (High: 0.0119 / Low: 0.0117).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.0150) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0118), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0031 (+26.52%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.0150

2010 Avg (October) 0.0118

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0117	0.0107	0.0112
February	0.0114	0.0105	0.0111
March	0.0122	0.0109	0.0118
April	0.0119	0.0117	0.0119
May	0.0129	0.0117	0.0121
June	0.0138	0.0128	0.0133
July	0.0137	0.0132	0.0134
August	0.0142	0.0133	0.0138
September	0.0153	0.0140	0.0146
October	0.0160	0.0145	0.0150
November	0.0146	0.0131	0.0137
December	0.0133	0.0120	0.0125