YEARLY HIGH
521.6893 UGX
YEARLY LOW
477.3835 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
495.3356 UGX

2018 GTQ to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GTQ to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 521.6893. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 477.3835.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 44.3058 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 495.0783 to the December average rate of 480.2778, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 521.6893 was up 4.01% compared to the 2017 peak of 501.5689, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GTQ based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,608,447 UGX
2017 Average 2,459,750 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,386,918 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 221,529.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

515.4495
477.0804
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GTQ to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 499.1820, compared to 491.4893 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.6928 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 499.1820
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 491.4893

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 28.7116 UGX (High: 520.5385 / Low: 491.8269). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0448 UGX (High: 500.6706 / Low: 497.6258).

July Spread (Volatile) ±28.7116
April Spread (Stable) ±3.0448

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 11.1276 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.1276

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 512.2521) against the same month in 2017 (average: 489.1263), the exchange rate shifted by +23.1258 (+4.73%).

2018 Avg (June) 512.2521
2017 Avg (June) 489.1263

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 499.4426 493.0869 495.0783
February 496.9455 492.9728 494.3740
March 497.6411 491.8137 493.9230
April 500.6706 497.6258 498.5836
May 504.3638 499.5301 500.8812
June 521.6893 504.0482 512.2521
July 520.5385 491.8269 501.1245
August 501.4368 491.6815 497.0715
September 499.8412 493.8595 496.6377
October 497.0701 484.2860 489.0451
November 487.3682 482.1821 484.7790
December 483.5720 477.3835 480.2778