YEARLY HIGH
0.3586 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.3013 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3355 BAM

2012 ARS to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 0.3586. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.3013.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0573 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3514 to the December average rate of 0.3060, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.3586 was down 5.85% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.3809, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,793 BAM
2011 Average 1,706 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 1,507 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 286.46 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.3559
0.3015
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3439, compared to 0.3271 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0169 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3439
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3271

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0182 BAM (High: 0.3537 / Low: 0.3356). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0066 BAM (High: 0.3417 / Low: 0.3350).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0182
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0066

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0171 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0171

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.3514) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.3682), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0169 (-4.58%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.3514
2011 Avg (January) 0.3682

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3586 0.3426 0.3514
February 0.3454 0.3348 0.3406
March 0.3446 0.3359 0.3404
April 0.3417 0.3350 0.3385
May 0.3537 0.3356 0.3441
June 0.3552 0.3433 0.3487
July 0.3555 0.3431 0.3501
August 0.3510 0.3360 0.3429
September 0.3357 0.3196 0.3259
October 0.3234 0.3163 0.3193
November 0.3226 0.3121 0.3183
December 0.3119 0.3013 0.3060