YEARLY HIGH
4.5229 BDT
YEARLY LOW
2.0302 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2056 BDT

2018 ARS to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 4.5229. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.0302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4927 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3708 to the December average rate of 2.2185, the exchange rate registered a net change of -49.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5229 was down 16.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.4363, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,614 BDT
2017 Average 24,581 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 10,151 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,463.40 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.5901
1.9582
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9327, compared to 2.4785 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4541 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9327
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4785

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.9322 BDT (High: 3.0985 / Low: 2.1663). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0795 BDT (High: 4.1788 / Low: 4.0992).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.9322
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0795

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.6614 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6614

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.3708) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.9897), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6189 (-12.40%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.3708
2017 Avg (January) 4.9897

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5229 4.2380 4.3708
February 4.2844 4.1266 4.1963
March 4.1719 4.0835 4.1112
April 4.1788 4.0992 4.1303
May 4.0957 3.3858 3.6064
June 3.4001 2.9253 3.1810
July 3.0981 2.8913 3.0498
August 3.0985 2.1663 2.8389
September 2.2757 2.0302 2.1775
October 2.3586 2.1310 2.2803
November 2.3687 2.1463 2.3063
December 2.2983 2.1873 2.2185