2015 ARS to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2121 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.1354 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1915 BGN

2015 ARS to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 0.2121. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.1354.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0767 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1957 to the December average rate of 0.1618, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.2121 was down 3.39% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.2195, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,060 BGN

2014 Average 911 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 677 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 383.43 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.2103

0.1574

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1988, compared to 0.1843 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1988

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1843

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.0549 BGN (High: 0.1903 / Low: 0.1354). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 BGN (High: 0.2005 / Low: 0.1971).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0549

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0281 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0281

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 0.2059) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.1787), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0272 (+15.23%).

2015 Avg (March) 0.2059

2014 Avg (March) 0.1787

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2027	0.1899	0.1957
February	0.2005	0.1971	0.1985
March	0.2121	0.2002	0.2059
April	0.2088	0.1962	0.2043
May	0.1998	0.1908	0.1957
June	0.1985	0.1894	0.1925
July	0.1976	0.1920	0.1944
August	0.1949	0.1828	0.1900
September	0.1883	0.1832	0.1858
October	0.1877	0.1806	0.1840
November	0.1924	0.1861	0.1899
December	0.1903	0.1354	0.1618

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