YEARLY HIGH
3.5201 HUF
YEARLY LOW
2.9851 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1955 HUF

2021 ARS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 3.5201. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 2.9851.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5350 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4381 to the December average rate of 3.1904, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3.5201 was down 33.48% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.2922, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,601 HUF
2020 Average 22,061 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 14,925 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,675.04 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

3.4771
3.0088
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2607, compared to 3.1302 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1305 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2607
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1302

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.2050 HUF (High: 3.2054 / Low: 3.0004). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0520 HUF (High: 3.2141 / Low: 3.1620).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2050
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0520

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1585 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1585

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 3.4381) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.0216), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5835 (-31.53%).

2021 Avg (January) 3.4381
2020 Avg (January) 5.0216

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5201 3.3728 3.4381
February 3.3834 3.2962 3.3422
March 3.4289 3.3438 3.3776
April 3.3470 3.1788 3.2550
May 3.2054 3.0004 3.0966
June 3.1455 2.9851 3.0549
July 3.1780 3.0929 3.1401
August 3.1222 3.0226 3.0768
September 3.1497 2.9886 3.0478
October 3.1677 3.1055 3.1371
November 3.2791 3.0934 3.1891
December 3.2141 3.1620 3.1904