YEARLY HIGH
0.0738 LYD
YEARLY LOW
0.0334 LYD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0519 LYD

2018 ARS to LYD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to LYD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.0738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.0334.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0404 LYD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0708 to the December average rate of 0.0370, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0738 was down 21.46% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0939, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 369 LYD
2017 Average 422 LYD
Yearly Trough Low 167 LYD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 201.92 LYD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0743
0.0324
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to LYD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0630, compared to 0.0408 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0222 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0630
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0408

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0154 LYD (High: 0.0510 / Low: 0.0356). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 LYD (High: 0.0662 / Low: 0.0652).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0154
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0109 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0109

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0708) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0901), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0192 (-21.36%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0708
2017 Avg (January) 0.0901

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0738 0.0677 0.0708
February 0.0686 0.0658 0.0671
March 0.0662 0.0652 0.0657
April 0.0661 0.0649 0.0657
May 0.0647 0.0541 0.0577
June 0.0548 0.0474 0.0512
July 0.0506 0.0476 0.0497
August 0.0510 0.0356 0.0467
September 0.0374 0.0334 0.0359
October 0.0387 0.0351 0.0374
November 0.0394 0.0358 0.0384
December 0.0383 0.0364 0.0370