YEARLY HIGH
46.1890 MGA
YEARLY LOW
38.2004 MGA
YEARLY AVERAGE
40.6073 MGA

2021 ARS to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 46.1890. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 38.2004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.9887 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.3370 to the December average rate of 38.9561, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 46.1890 was down 25.82% compared to the 2020 peak of 62.2623, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 230,945 MGA
2020 Average 272,181 MGA
Yearly Trough Low 191,002 MGA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,943.30 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

44.8751
38.4181
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 41.4700, compared to 39.7446 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7254 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 41.4700
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.7446

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 2.8342 MGA (High: 46.1890 / Low: 43.3548). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3111 MGA (High: 39.7943 / Low: 39.4832).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.8342
November Spread (Stable) ±0.3111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.9120 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 44.3370) against the same month in 2020 (average: 61.4285), the exchange rate shifted by -17.0915 (-27.82%).

2021 Avg (January) 44.3370
2020 Avg (January) 61.4285

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.1890 43.3548 44.3370
February 43.2466 41.4834 42.4250
March 41.7938 41.1713 41.4568
April 41.5181 40.3687 40.9013
May 40.6371 39.6677 39.9940
June 40.5328 39.3641 39.7058
July 40.9185 39.1511 39.9103
August 40.4497 39.1534 40.0421
September 40.2867 39.7057 40.0030
October 40.1213 39.5772 39.8957
November 39.7943 39.4832 39.6605
December 39.4683 38.2004 38.9561