YEARLY HIGH
1.6254 MOP
YEARLY LOW
1.2263 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4676 MOP

2013 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.6254. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 1.2263.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3992 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6131 to the December average rate of 1.2614, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.6254 was down 12.63% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.8603, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,127 MOP
2012 Average 8,799 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 6,131 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,995.80 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.6482
1.2262
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5601, compared to 1.3750 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1851 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5601
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3750

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0760 MOP (High: 1.3022 / Low: 1.2263). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0226 MOP (High: 1.6254 / Low: 1.6028).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0760
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0226

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0670 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0670

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1.6131) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.8514), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2384 (-12.87%).

2013 Avg (January) 1.6131
2012 Avg (January) 1.8514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6254 1.6028 1.6131
February 1.6105 1.5876 1.5965
March 1.5843 1.5607 1.5713
April 1.5618 1.5371 1.5519
May 1.5460 1.5127 1.5283
June 1.5135 1.4855 1.4999
July 1.4863 1.4497 1.4689
August 1.4523 1.4096 1.4316
September 1.4098 1.3790 1.3931
October 1.3798 1.3543 1.3667
November 1.3495 1.3012 1.3284
December 1.3022 1.2263 1.2614