2018 ARS to PHP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7140 PHP

YEARLY LOW

1.3083 PHP

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0067 PHP

2018 ARS to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 2.7140. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 1.3083.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4057 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.6590 to the December average rate of 1.3967, the exchange rate registered a net change of -47.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.7140 was down 17.08% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.2731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,570 PHP

2017 Average 15,254 PHP

Yearly Trough Low 6,542 PHP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,028.35 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.7853

1.2705

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4408, compared to 1.5726 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8682 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4408

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5726

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.5634 PHP (High: 1.9436 / Low: 1.3802). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0462 PHP (High: 2.6008 / Low: 2.5546).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5634

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0462

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3947 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3947

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.6590) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.1310), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4720 (-15.08%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.6590

2017 Avg (January) 3.1310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.7140	2.5883	2.6590
February	2.6630	2.5693	2.6164
March	2.6008	2.5546	2.5778
April	2.5938	2.5150	2.5704
May	2.5036	2.0960	2.2249
June	2.1070	1.8447	1.9964
July	1.9649	1.8447	1.9327
August	1.9436	1.3802	1.7953
September	1.4590	1.3083	1.4007
October	1.4989	1.3720	1.4572
November	1.5018	1.3421	1.4529
December	1.4390	1.3753	1.3967

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