2011 ARS to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4778.9125 STD

YEARLY LOW

4045.0190 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

4276.6871 STD

2011 ARS to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 4778.9125. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 4045.0190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 733.8934 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4620.7886 to the December average rate of 4321.5078, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4778.9125 was down 8.93% compared to the 2010 peak of 5247.7167, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,894,562 STD

2010 Average 23,387,881 STD

Yearly Trough Low 20,225,095 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,669,467.17 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4670.0812

4078.5708

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4337.3128, compared to 4216.0614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 121.2514 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4337.3128

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4216.0614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 331.2930 STD (High: 4376.3121 / Low: 4045.0190). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 124.7559 STD (High: 4227.3378 / Low: 4102.5818).

April Spread (Volatile) ±331.2930

July Spread (Stable) ±124.7559

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 149.3132 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -149.3132

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 4620.7886) against the same month in 2010 (average: 4308.3723), the exchange rate shifted by +312.4164 (+7.25%).

2011 Avg (January) 4620.7886

2010 Avg (January) 4308.3723

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4778.9125	4475.6106	4620.7886
February	4535.3632	4403.6968	4479.9559
March	4428.5701	4269.3975	4349.7966
April	4376.3121	4045.0190	4200.4834
May	4269.0725	4045.0190	4197.8215
June	4223.6534	4098.7882	4175.0306
July	4227.3378	4102.5818	4166.2850
August	4204.8949	4053.5638	4127.8633
September	4305.0527	4051.7617	4183.3804
October	4400.2186	4120.3370	4264.1087
November	4316.9821	4134.9648	4233.2232
December	4386.1329	4231.7933	4321.5078

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