YEARLY HIGH
1.8594 UAH
YEARLY LOW
1.6182 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7336 UAH

2016 ARS to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.8594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 1.6182.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2413 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7936 to the December average rate of 1.6593, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8594 was down 43.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.3065, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,297 UAH
2015 Average 11,831 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 8,091 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,206.45 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.8070
1.6459
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7788, compared to 1.6884 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0903 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7788
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6884

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1812 UAH (High: 1.8137 / Low: 1.6325). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0308 UAH (High: 1.7087 / Low: 1.6778).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1812
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0308

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0980 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0980

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.7936) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8429), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0493 (-2.67%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.7936
2015 Avg (January) 1.8429

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8594 1.6900 1.7936
February 1.8345 1.7168 1.7906
March 1.8333 1.6734 1.7616
April 1.8142 1.7587 1.7760
May 1.8077 1.7612 1.7862
June 1.8137 1.6325 1.7646
July 1.7037 1.6491 1.6666
August 1.7422 1.6625 1.6942
September 1.7874 1.6849 1.7391
October 1.7087 1.6778 1.6940
November 1.7167 1.6201 1.6775
December 1.7136 1.6182 1.6593