YEARLY HIGH
43.8061 UGX
YEARLY LOW
41.1326 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
42.1676 UGX

2021 BDT to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BDT to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 43.8061. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 41.1326.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6735 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.5212 to the December average rate of 41.4404, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 43.8061 was down 4.92% compared to the 2020 peak of 46.0711, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 219,031 UGX
2020 Average 219,038 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 205,663 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,367.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

43.7347
41.1730
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.7442, compared to 41.5910 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1532 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.7442
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 41.5910

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 1.1295 UGX (High: 43.3385 / Low: 42.2091). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1678 UGX (High: 43.2958 / Low: 43.1280).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.1295
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1678

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.8896 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8896

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 43.5212) against the same month in 2020 (average: 43.3569), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1643 (+0.38%).

2021 Avg (January) 43.5212
2020 Avg (January) 43.3569

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 43.8061 43.1893 43.5212
February 43.3986 43.1580 43.2535
March 43.2958 43.1280 43.2178
April 43.3385 42.2091 42.8021
May 42.4329 41.6651 41.9125
June 41.9468 41.4821 41.7583
July 42.0373 41.7275 41.8804
August 41.8772 41.4061 41.6225
September 41.5649 41.1785 41.3865
October 42.3827 41.3252 41.7823
November 41.7068 41.1326 41.4340
December 41.6209 41.2607 41.4404