YEARLY HIGH
209.4395 IDR
YEARLY LOW
194.0202 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
198.0401 IDR

2016 BTN to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BTN to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 209.4395. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 12, dropping to 194.0202.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.4193 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 206.2172 to the December average rate of 197.6308, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 209.4395 was down 6.73% compared to the 2015 peak of 224.5408, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,047,198 IDR
2015 Average 1,043,887 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 970,101 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 77,096.62 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

207.3216
194.0679
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 199.7165, compared to 196.3637 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.3527 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 199.7165
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 196.3637

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 8.0869 IDR (High: 202.6481 / Low: 194.5611). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0407 IDR (High: 195.7101 / Low: 194.6694).

June Spread (Volatile) ±8.0869
July Spread (Stable) ±1.0407

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 8.1253 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.1253

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 206.2172) against the same month in 2015 (average: 202.0588), the exchange rate shifted by +4.1583 (+2.06%).

2016 Avg (January) 206.2172
2015 Avg (January) 202.0588

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 209.4395 202.7499 206.2172
February 202.2259 195.0693 198.0918
March 200.2075 194.0202 196.6729
April 199.0925 197.2827 198.1489
May 203.0918 197.6263 200.6505
June 202.6481 194.5611 198.5174
July 195.7101 194.6694 195.1724
August 197.9014 195.8383 196.5866
September 198.1748 194.6548 196.5246
October 195.9056 194.5683 195.1920
November 199.3186 195.1545 197.0760
December 198.4788 196.5719 197.6308