YEARLY HIGH
1.5629 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.3771 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4669 RSD

2018 BTN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1.5629. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 1.3771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1858 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5281 to the December average rate of 1.4716, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5629 was down 13.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.8139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,814 RSD
2017 Average 8,268 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 6,886 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 928.83 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5408
1.3882
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4885, compared to 1.4453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4885
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0875 RSD (High: 1.4991 / Low: 1.4116). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0193 RSD (High: 1.4834 / Low: 1.4641).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0875
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0193

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0625 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0625

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.5281) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7098), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1817 (-10.63%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.5281
2017 Avg (January) 1.7098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5629 1.5030 1.5281
February 1.5070 1.4730 1.4886
March 1.4834 1.4641 1.4740
April 1.4855 1.4522 1.4665
May 1.5075 1.4654 1.4812
June 1.5099 1.4746 1.4924
July 1.4796 1.4582 1.4699
August 1.5017 1.4303 1.4716
September 1.4365 1.3842 1.4091
October 1.4223 1.3771 1.4009
November 1.4991 1.4116 1.4487
December 1.4926 1.4450 1.4716