YEARLY HIGH
46.2696 UGX
YEARLY LOW
43.5597 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.1076 UGX

2023 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 46.2696. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 12, dropping to 43.5597.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7099 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.1196 to the December average rate of 45.3863, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 46.2696 was down 6.21% compared to the 2022 peak of 49.3309, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 231,348 UGX
2022 Average 234,866 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 217,799 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,549.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

45.8305
44.3232
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.2134, compared to 45.0018 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2117 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.2134
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.0018

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 1.6272 UGX (High: 45.1870 / Low: 43.5597). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4089 UGX (High: 45.3176 / Low: 44.9087).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.6272
January Spread (Stable) ±0.4089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4805 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4805

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2023: 45.7049) against the same month in 2022 (average: 46.5271), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8222 (-1.77%).

2023 Avg (April) 45.7049
2022 Avg (April) 46.5271

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 45.3176 44.9087 45.1196
February 45.0593 44.2713 44.6395
March 46.0767 44.8646 45.4558
April 46.2696 45.3865 45.7049
May 45.7011 44.9770 45.2877
June 45.4585 44.7078 45.0734
July 44.9965 43.9443 44.5928
August 45.1870 43.5597 44.4488
September 45.3000 44.8587 45.0425
October 45.4666 44.9486 45.1314
November 45.7763 45.1559 45.4089
December 45.6658 45.1077 45.3863