YEARLY HIGH
51.3050 PHP
YEARLY LOW
47.4959 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
49.2676 PHP

2021 ERN to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ERN to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 51.3050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 47.4959.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8091 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.0755 to the December average rate of 50.3159, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 51.3050 was down 0.86% compared to the 2020 peak of 51.7500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ERN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 256,525 PHP
2020 Average 248,028 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 237,480 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,045.35 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

50.9884
47.6023
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ERN to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.2343, compared to 50.3009 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0666 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.2343
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.3009

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was August, with a trading range of 1.9008 PHP (High: 50.7276 / Low: 48.8269). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3767 PHP (High: 48.7005 / Low: 48.3238).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.9008
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3767

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.5565 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5565

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 50.3159) against the same month in 2020 (average: 48.0829), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2330 (+4.64%).

2021 Avg (December) 50.3159
2020 Avg (December) 48.0829

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 48.3389 47.8788 48.0755
February 48.9707 47.9226 48.2953
March 48.7005 48.3238 48.5361
April 48.6294 48.2398 48.4410
May 48.2399 47.4959 47.8845
June 48.8281 47.6154 48.1734
July 50.9357 49.1100 50.0345
August 50.7276 48.8269 50.1964
September 51.1369 49.7299 50.2023
October 50.8625 50.3153 50.7062
November 50.7200 49.8152 50.3500
December 51.3050 49.8600 50.3159