YEARLY HIGH
1.9322 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.3242 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6883 RUB

2021 ETB to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 1.9322. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.3242.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6080 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8899 to the December average rate of 1.4808, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.9322 was down 21.76% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.4694, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,661 RUB
2020 Average 10,358 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 1,621 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,040.03 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.9308
1.4399
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8046, compared to 1.5721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2325 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8046
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 1.2283 RUB (High: 1.5525 / Low: 0.3242). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0385 RUB (High: 1.6043 / Low: 1.5659).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.2283
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0385

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0929 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0929

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 1.8664) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.9998), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1334 (-6.67%).

2021 Avg (February) 1.8664
2020 Avg (February) 1.9998

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9300 1.8573 1.8899
February 1.9322 1.8285 1.8664
March 1.8944 1.7971 1.8409
April 1.8721 1.7765 1.8273
May 1.7863 1.6870 1.7343
June 1.6995 1.6471 1.6686
July 1.7031 1.6490 1.6780
August 1.6583 1.6055 1.6301
September 1.6043 1.5659 1.5824
October 1.5730 1.4725 1.5250
November 1.5990 1.4936 1.5360
December 1.5525 0.3242 1.4808