YEARLY HIGH
5.8633 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.1214 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4910 MDL

2021 GEL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 5.8633. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 5.1214.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7418 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.2220 to the December average rate of 5.7258, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.8633 was down 8.50% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.4080, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,316 MDL
2020 Average 27,765 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 25,607 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,709.19 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.8186
5.1540
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3117, compared to 5.6702 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3585 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3117
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6702

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.3725 MDL (High: 5.7531 / Low: 5.3806). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0773 MDL (High: 5.6860 / Low: 5.6087).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3725
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0773

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1054 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 5.7633) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.5164), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2468 (+4.47%).

2021 Avg (July) 5.7633
2020 Avg (July) 5.5164

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2734 5.1710 5.2220
February 5.3061 5.2147 5.2543
March 5.3590 5.2510 5.3051
April 5.2734 5.1261 5.2094
May 5.4024 5.1214 5.2458
June 5.7531 5.3806 5.6336
July 5.8633 5.6909 5.7633
August 5.8090 5.6452 5.7000
September 5.6860 5.6087 5.6612
October 5.6410 5.5144 5.5558
November 5.7395 5.5074 5.6151
December 5.8068 5.6678 5.7258