YEARLY HIGH
81.5807 MMK
YEARLY LOW
52.9104 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
66.8644 MMK

2021 HNL to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the HNL to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 81.5807. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 52.9104.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 28.6703 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 54.8827 to the December average rate of 73.3214, the exchange rate registered a net change of 33.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 81.5807 was up 35.56% compared to the 2020 peak of 60.1796, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 407,903 MMK
2020 Average 278,078 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 264,552 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 143,351.37 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

80.4918
52.5546
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 60.9011, compared to 72.8277 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 11.9266 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 60.9011
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 72.8277

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was September, with a trading range of 9.1648 MMK (High: 77.6048 / Low: 68.4401). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6265 MMK (High: 68.8798 / Low: 68.2533).

September Spread (Volatile) ±9.1648
June Spread (Stable) ±0.6265

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 4.1391 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1391

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 78.1637) against the same month in 2020 (average: 52.5770), the exchange rate shifted by +25.5866 (+48.67%).

2021 Avg (October) 78.1637
2020 Avg (October) 52.5770

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 55.2029 52.9104 54.8827
February 58.5355 54.7026 57.8046
March 58.5105 57.8785 58.2284
April 64.6902 58.2607 59.7461
May 68.5007 64.4728 66.3018
June 68.8798 68.2533 68.4427
July 69.3786 68.4960 68.9233
August 69.3820 68.7377 69.2014
September 77.6048 68.4401 73.3316
October 81.5807 74.2543 78.1637
November 75.6972 73.1728 74.0246
December 74.0963 72.8092 73.3214