2016 HNL to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1015.6944 STD

YEARLY LOW

921.7005 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

972.7566 STD

2016 HNL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1015.6944. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 921.7005.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 93.9939 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1004.8000 to the December average rate of 997.9335, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1015.6944 was down 6.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 1088.8149, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,078,472 STD

2015 Average 5,087,903 STD

Yearly Trough Low 4,608,503 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 469,969.53 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1009.7045

950.8507

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 972.3534, compared to 973.1598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 972.3534

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 973.1598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 55.5577 STD (High: 977.2582 / Low: 921.7005). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.4832 STD (High: 963.0434 / Low: 951.5602).

June Spread (Volatile) ±55.5577

September Spread (Stable) ±11.4832

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 23.9215 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -23.9215

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1004.8000) against the same month in 2015 (average: 998.9616), the exchange rate shifted by +5.8384 (+0.58%).

2016 Avg (January) 1004.8000

2015 Avg (January) 998.9616

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1015.6944	998.8963	1004.8000
February	1003.2717	969.4885	980.8786
March	997.2629	955.6508	974.9824
April	962.8473	945.6822	955.7552
May	971.8813	940.8814	958.2052
June	977.2582	921.7005	959.4990
July	980.3265	964.6343	971.5131
August	967.9559	944.6362	956.4974
September	963.0434	951.5602	956.7203
October	988.1615	945.2718	970.9175
November	1000.8316	961.1772	985.3771
December	1006.3971	985.6995	997.9335

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