YEARLY HIGH
50.8479 UGX
YEARLY LOW
46.7465 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
48.5371 UGX

2021 INR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the INR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 50.8479. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 46.7465.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1014 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.4877 to the December average rate of 47.1449, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 50.8479 was down 2.37% compared to the 2020 peak of 52.0816, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 250,000 INR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,711,978 UGX
2020 Average 12,537,287 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,686,632 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,025,346.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

50.8220
46.8106
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

INR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.4141, compared to 47.6600 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7541 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.4141
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.6600

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 2.0210 UGX (High: 49.9876 / Low: 47.9665). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5768 UGX (High: 47.9647 / Low: 47.3880).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.0210
July Spread (Stable) ±0.5768

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.6117 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6117

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 50.4877) against the same month in 2020 (average: 51.6143), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1266 (-2.18%).

2021 Avg (January) 50.4877
2020 Avg (January) 51.6143

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 50.8479 50.0089 50.4877
February 50.7059 49.7184 50.3506
March 50.6632 49.8317 50.3101
April 49.9876 47.9665 48.6983
May 48.9846 48.0487 48.5440
June 48.6923 47.5894 48.0941
July 47.9647 47.3880 47.6504
August 48.3894 47.4610 47.7357
September 48.4358 47.5565 47.9599
October 48.3121 47.3411 47.7470
November 48.2637 47.4279 47.7222
December 47.6126 46.7465 47.1449