YEARLY HIGH
25.2093 UGX
YEARLY LOW
20.4774 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
21.6655 UGX

2021 LRD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the LRD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 25.2093. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 20.4774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7319 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.9382 to the December average rate of 24.9345, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 25.2093 was up 5.86% compared to the 2020 peak of 23.8135, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 126,047 UGX
2020 Average 97,442 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 102,387 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,659.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

25.3698
20.1464
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.1041, compared to 22.2269 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1228 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.1041
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.2269

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 2.7707 UGX (High: 23.4674 / Low: 20.6967). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1431 UGX (High: 20.6976 / Low: 20.5544).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.7707
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1431

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6887 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6887

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 24.9345) against the same month in 2020 (average: 22.7314), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2031 (+9.69%).

2021 Avg (December) 24.9345
2020 Avg (December) 22.7314

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 22.4004 21.5239 21.9382
February 21.5131 21.1254 21.2494
March 21.1682 21.0222 21.0958
April 21.1761 20.7841 21.0073
May 20.8943 20.5245 20.6799
June 20.7501 20.5291 20.6543
July 20.7851 20.6255 20.6958
August 20.6976 20.5544 20.6055
September 20.8195 20.4774 20.5817
October 23.4674 20.6967 21.9952
November 25.1083 23.6874 24.5488
December 25.2093 24.4201 24.9345