2021 MDL to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.4264 KES

YEARLY LOW

5.9666 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2173 KES

2021 MDL to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MDL to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 19, valuing the pair at 6.4264. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 5.9666.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4598 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3732 to the December average rate of 6.3717, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.4264 was down 2.48% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.5900, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,132 KES

2020 Average 30,916 KES

Yearly Trough Low 29,833 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,298.76 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.4093

5.9759

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1744, compared to 6.2601 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0858 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1744

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2601

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.1988 KES (High: 6.2796 / Low: 6.0807). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0650 KES (High: 6.3916 / Low: 6.3267).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1988

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0650

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1628 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1628

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 6.3700) against the same month in 2020 (average: 6.4249), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0549 (-0.85%).

2021 Avg (October) 6.3700

2020 Avg (October) 6.4249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.4202	6.2914	6.3732
February	6.3802	6.2527	6.2979
March	6.2796	6.0807	6.1975
April	6.0975	5.9666	6.0348
May	6.1289	5.9933	6.0742
June	6.1404	5.9753	6.0688
July	6.0962	5.9707	6.0120
August	6.2496	6.0736	6.1850
September	6.3092	6.2198	6.2616
October	6.4264	6.3015	6.3700
November	6.3916	6.3267	6.3605
December	6.4161	6.3418	6.3717

૨૦૨૫ MDL થી KES ઐતિહાસિક સમીક્ષા