YEARLY HIGH
4.4266 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.9664 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1782 RUB

2021 MDL to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MDL to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 4.4266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 26, dropping to 3.9664.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4602 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3188 to the December average rate of 4.1648, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.4266 was down 6.52% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.7354, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,133 RUB
2020 Average 20,996 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 19,832 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,300.76 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.3421
4.0621
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2194, compared to 4.1370 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0824 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2194
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.2189 RUB (High: 4.2560 / Low: 4.0371). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1005 RUB (High: 4.2413 / Low: 4.1408).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2189
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0943 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0943

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4.3188) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.5618), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7570 (+21.25%).

2021 Avg (January) 4.3188
2020 Avg (January) 3.5618

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4266 4.2318 4.3188
February 4.4140 4.2165 4.2694
March 4.3024 4.1311 4.2110
April 4.3339 4.1872 4.2520
May 4.2413 4.1408 4.1798
June 4.1931 4.0056 4.0854
July 4.1661 4.0580 4.1100
August 4.2282 4.0787 4.1623
September 4.1997 4.0944 4.1433
October 4.1586 3.9664 4.0971
November 4.2560 4.0371 4.1443
December 4.2197 4.1100 4.1648