2011 MOP to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.3790 ALL

YEARLY LOW

11.9651 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.5834 ALL

2011 MOP to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 13.3790. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 11.9651.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4139 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.9628 to the December average rate of 13.1105, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 13.3790 was down 5.92% compared to the 2010 peak of 14.2202, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,895 ALL

2010 Average 64,968 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 59,826 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,069.55 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

13.2060

12.0595

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5144, compared to 12.6523 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1378 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5144

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.6523

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.7693 ALL (High: 13.2562 / Low: 12.4869). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2353 ALL (High: 12.2810 / Low: 12.0457).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.7693

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2353

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2720 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2720

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 13.1105) against the same month in 2010 (average: 13.1000), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0104 (+0.08%).

2011 Avg (December) 13.1105

2010 Avg (December) 13.1000

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.3542	12.6820	12.9628
February	12.9023	12.6101	12.7566
March	12.6424	12.3359	12.4846
April	12.3798	11.9651	12.2330
May	12.5651	11.9695	12.3430
June	12.4230	12.1527	12.3067
July	12.4047	12.0614	12.2057
August	12.2810	12.0457	12.1550
September	12.9763	12.2598	12.6952
October	13.2562	12.4869	12.7886
November	13.1818	12.7995	12.9588
December	13.3790	12.7048	13.1105

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