2012 MOP to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2533.2073 STD

YEARLY LOW

2290.4929 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

2394.9379 STD

2012 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 2533.2073. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 2290.4929.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 242.7143 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2374.2887 to the December average rate of 2347.1281, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2533.2073 was up 6.77% compared to the 2011 peak of 2372.4917, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,666,036 STD

2011 Average 11,000,486 STD

Yearly Trough Low 11,452,465 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,213,571.68 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2540.6551

2302.7332

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2355.2636, compared to 2434.6122 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 79.3486 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2355.2636

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2434.6122

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 143.8802 STD (High: 2531.3072 / Low: 2387.4270). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 28.8781 STD (High: 2533.2073 / Low: 2504.3292).

September Spread (Volatile) ±143.8802

August Spread (Stable) ±28.8781

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 61.6491 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -61.6491

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 2520.8283) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2140.0307), the exchange rate shifted by +380.7975 (+17.79%).

2012 Avg (August) 2520.8283

2011 Avg (August) 2140.0307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2415.5383	2300.9586	2374.2887
February	2352.9509	2290.4929	2322.5600
March	2370.2406	2293.2357	2323.2223
April	2355.9774	2297.8888	2331.9774
May	2420.2643	2309.8661	2368.4125
June	2461.5068	2351.3703	2411.1206
July	2522.4099	2438.7544	2480.2291
August	2533.2073	2504.3292	2520.8283
September	2531.3072	2387.4270	2459.1792
October	2456.6000	2375.7351	2406.3235
November	2416.0254	2359.9215	2393.9851
December	2376.7037	2328.1616	2347.1281

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