YEARLY HIGH
3545.9766 UGX
YEARLY LOW
9.8525 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
95.4997 UGX

2021 MRO to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MRO to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 3545.9766. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 9.8525.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3536.1242 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3395 to the December average rate of 1035.3798, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9913.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3545.9766 was up 32191.11% compared to the 2020 peak of 10.9813, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,729,883 UGX
2020 Average 52,057 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 49,262 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,680,620.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1137.9290
-92.6621
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.1493, compared to 180.8500 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 170.7007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.1493
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 180.8500

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 3536.0518 UGX (High: 3545.9766 / Low: 9.9248). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0416 UGX (High: 10.2763 / Low: 10.2347).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3536.0518
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0416

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2059 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2059

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 1035.3798) against the same month in 2020 (average: 10.2667), the exchange rate shifted by +1025.1131 (+9984.84%).

2021 Avg (December) 1035.3798
2020 Avg (December) 10.2667

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.4161 10.2388 10.3395
February 10.3046 10.2520 10.2717
March 10.2763 10.2347 10.2570
April 10.2618 10.0165 10.1582
May 10.0696 9.8886 9.9523
June 9.9631 9.8525 9.9171
July 9.9859 9.9112 9.9465
August 9.9516 9.8880 9.9100
September 9.9724 9.8573 9.8871
October 10.1659 9.9136 10.0206
November 10.0280 9.8832 9.9563
December 3545.9766 9.9248 1035.3798