YEARLY HIGH
505.7903 CDF
YEARLY LOW
475.5154 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
492.8005 CDF

2018 PGK to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the PGK to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 9, valuing the pair at 505.7903. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 475.5154.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 30.2749 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 496.8623 to the December average rate of 482.8787, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 505.7903 was down 2.38% compared to the 2017 peak of 518.1167, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 PGK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,528,951 CDF
2017 Average 2,285,481 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,377,577 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 151,374.55 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

503.5077
481.0034
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

PGK to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 497.4509, compared to 488.1501 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.3008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 497.4509
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 488.1501

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 28.4613 CDF (High: 504.0322 / Low: 475.5709). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.1089 CDF (High: 501.2407 / Low: 495.1318).

July Spread (Volatile) ±28.4613
April Spread (Stable) ±6.1089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 6.1670 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1670

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 501.6324) against the same month in 2017 (average: 419.4528), the exchange rate shifted by +82.1796 (+19.59%).

2018 Avg (March) 501.6324
2017 Avg (March) 419.4528

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 501.0763 486.8746 496.8623
February 505.6338 494.9040 500.7084
March 505.7903 495.2847 501.6324
April 501.2407 495.1318 497.4845
May 497.0246 490.7029 494.5538
June 496.5999 487.1872 493.4641
July 504.0322 475.5709 492.8709
August 495.4715 486.8564 491.5541
September 497.7634 488.2813 492.1597
October 489.4439 482.2164 485.9927
November 489.4525 478.1555 483.4444
December 487.9530 475.5154 482.8787