YEARLY HIGH
207.9237 STD
YEARLY LOW
198.5915 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
202.4842 STD

2019 RSD to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 30, valuing the pair at 207.9237. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 30, dropping to 198.5915.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.3322 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 203.0881 to the December average rate of 203.8391, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 207.9237 was down 0.97% compared to the 2018 peak of 209.9507, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,039,618 STD
2018 Average 1,031,134 STD
Yearly Trough Low 992,957 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,661.18 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

205.9155
199.1331
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 201.5266, compared to 203.4418 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9152 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 201.5266
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 203.4418

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 8.5037 STD (High: 207.9237 / Low: 199.4200). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9348 STD (High: 200.5262 / Low: 198.5915).

June Spread (Volatile) ±8.5037
May Spread (Stable) ±1.9348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.7368 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7368

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 202.2056) against the same month in 2018 (average: 207.7086), the exchange rate shifted by -5.5030 (-2.65%).

2019 Avg (June) 202.2056
2018 Avg (June) 207.7086

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 205.4164 201.0584 203.0881
February 203.6826 200.7034 202.1326
March 204.0286 199.5944 201.5806
April 201.9105 198.7602 200.4542
May 200.5262 198.5915 199.6983
June 207.9237 199.4200 202.2056
July 206.7586 202.7725 205.3503
August 205.9058 201.3260 203.7341
September 203.7760 200.3702 201.9973
October 204.7880 200.5741 202.9160
November 205.0695 201.7384 202.8137
December 205.7229 202.0314 203.8391