YEARLY HIGH
0.6297 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.3688 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5133 MOP

2021 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 0.6297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.3688.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2609 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3763 to the December average rate of 0.5974, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.6297 was down 0.98% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.6360, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,149 MOP
2020 Average 2,377 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 1,844 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,304.40 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.6343
0.3529
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4413, compared to 0.5852 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1439 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4413
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5852

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.1893 MOP (High: 0.5745 / Low: 0.3852). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0096 MOP (High: 0.3784 / Low: 0.3688).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1893
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0300 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0300

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 0.5974) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.3767), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2206 (+58.57%).

2021 Avg (December) 0.5974
2020 Avg (December) 0.3767

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3784 0.3688 0.3763
February 0.3839 0.3720 0.3773
March 0.3925 0.3734 0.3778
April 0.5745 0.3852 0.4942
May 0.5428 0.4845 0.5082
June 0.5447 0.4841 0.5140
July 0.5936 0.4883 0.5421
August 0.6260 0.5221 0.5852
September 0.6268 0.5703 0.6108
October 0.6259 0.5360 0.5809
November 0.6280 0.5375 0.5950
December 0.6297 0.5363 0.5974