YEARLY HIGH
0.6172 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.5174 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5861 BAM

2016 TRY to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.6172. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 0.5174.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0998 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5998 to the December average rate of 0.5301, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6172 was down 16.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7423, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,860 BAM
2015 Average 32,505 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 25,871 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,989.86 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6175
0.5221
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6002, compared to 0.5719 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0282 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6002
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5719

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0351 BAM (High: 0.5698 / Low: 0.5347). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 BAM (High: 0.6139 / Low: 0.6051).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0351
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0264 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0264

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.5998) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7197), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1199 (-16.66%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.5998
2015 Avg (January) 0.7197

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6172 0.5876 0.5998
February 0.6099 0.5899 0.5981
March 0.6139 0.6051 0.6096
April 0.6139 0.6015 0.6083
May 0.6103 0.5804 0.5884
June 0.6115 0.5912 0.5968
July 0.6123 0.5780 0.5953
August 0.5943 0.5825 0.5899
September 0.5955 0.5809 0.5883
October 0.5849 0.5719 0.5772
November 0.5698 0.5347 0.5508
December 0.5348 0.5174 0.5301