YEARLY HIGH
316.7816 CDF
YEARLY LOW
266.3396 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
291.3397 CDF

2019 TRY to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TRY to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 316.7816. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 266.3396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 50.4420 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 305.1004 to the December average rate of 286.5346, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 316.7816 was down 26.78% compared to the 2018 peak of 432.6158, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,839,079 CDF
2018 Average 17,233,809 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 13,316,980 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,522,099.58 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

314.4165
268.5263
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 292.4936, compared to 290.1859 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 292.4936
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 290.1859

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 24.0564 CDF (High: 303.1517 / Low: 279.0953). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.0121 CDF (High: 292.2055 / Low: 288.1934).

August Spread (Volatile) ±24.0564
November Spread (Stable) ±4.0121

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 14.6490 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -14.6490

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 310.5923) against the same month in 2018 (average: 425.5225), the exchange rate shifted by -114.9302 (-27.01%).

2019 Avg (February) 310.5923
2018 Avg (February) 425.5225

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 316.3004 296.3172 305.1004
February 316.7816 306.4652 310.5923
March 306.2268 283.3588 298.5391
April 297.3129 275.0834 283.8902
May 283.3024 266.3396 272.3505
June 288.6852 280.2481 284.4891
July 298.4393 289.0920 292.7480
August 303.1517 279.0953 293.5247
September 294.8733 284.7942 291.4338
October 292.6300 280.4271 287.0461
November 292.2055 288.1934 289.8282
December 290.6763 283.1886 286.5346