2016 TRY to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.2620 GMD

YEARLY LOW

12.0700 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.9265 GMD

2016 TRY to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 15.2620. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 12.0700.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1920 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.1633 to the December average rate of 12.2216, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.2620 was down 19.44% compared to the 2015 peak of 18.9449, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 763,099 GMD

2015 Average 762,042 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 603,500 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 159,598.74 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

15.3274

11.9393

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.1472, compared to 13.7059 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4413 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.1472

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.7059

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 1.8293 GMD (High: 15.1447 / Low: 13.3154). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3111 GMD (High: 13.5519 / Low: 13.2408).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.8293

February Spread (Stable) ±0.3111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.9140 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 14.5328) against the same month in 2015 (average: 16.2713), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7385 (-10.68%).

2016 Avg (May) 14.5328

2015 Avg (May) 16.2713

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.5567	12.9589	13.1633
February	13.5519	13.2408	13.4026
March	15.1447	13.3154	14.0975
April	15.2393	14.9270	15.0451
May	15.2620	14.2938	14.5328
June	14.9937	14.4571	14.6418
July	14.7933	13.9171	14.3772
August	14.6219	14.1547	14.4088
September	14.5844	14.1732	14.3593
October	14.1842	13.6987	13.8913
November	13.7559	12.3223	12.9773
December	12.5381	12.0700	12.2216

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