YEARLY HIGH
0.1867 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.1704 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1792 MOP

2026 TRY to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the TRY to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.1867. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 29, dropping to 0.1704.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0163 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1857 to the December average rate of 0.1717, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.1867 was down 17.88% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.2273, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,333 MOP
2025 Average 10,178 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 8,520 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 813.11 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.1871
0.1702
JanuMarcMayJuly

TRY to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1805, compared to 0.1717 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0088 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1805
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1717

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0033 MOP (High: 0.1864 / Low: 0.1831). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 MOP (High: 0.1834 / Low: 0.1809).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0033
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0038 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0038

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.1857) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.2257), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0400 (-17.71%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.1857
2025 Avg (January) 0.2257

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1867 0.1837 0.1857
February 0.1864 0.1831 0.1841
March 0.1834 0.1809 0.1822
April 0.1814 0.1787 0.1802
May 0.1788 0.1758 0.1764
June 0.1758 0.1731 0.1744
July 0.1731 0.1704 0.1717