YEARLY HIGH
0.0488 LRD
YEARLY LOW
0.0397 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0464 LRD

2021 UGX to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 0.0488. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.0397.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0092 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0456 to the December average rate of 0.0401, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0488 was down 10.33% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0545, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 244 LRD
2020 Average 258 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 198 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45.83 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0494
0.0393
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0474, compared to 0.0453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0474
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0057 LRD (High: 0.0483 / Low: 0.0426). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 LRD (High: 0.0476 / Low: 0.0472).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0057
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0048 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0048

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2021: 0.0486) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0539), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0053 (-9.79%).

2021 Avg (September) 0.0486
2020 Avg (September) 0.0539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0465 0.0446 0.0456
February 0.0473 0.0465 0.0471
March 0.0476 0.0472 0.0474
April 0.0481 0.0472 0.0476
May 0.0487 0.0479 0.0484
June 0.0487 0.0482 0.0484
July 0.0485 0.0481 0.0483
August 0.0487 0.0483 0.0485
September 0.0488 0.0480 0.0486
October 0.0483 0.0426 0.0456
November 0.0422 0.0398 0.0407
December 0.0409 0.0397 0.0401