YEARLY HIGH
6.9453 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.0919 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4712 UGX

2021 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 6.9453. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 6.0919.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8534 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8465 to the December average rate of 6.1273, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.9453 was up 1.51% compared to the 2020 peak of 6.8422, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,727 UGX
2020 Average 32,346 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 30,460 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,267.12 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.9184
6.0554
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6563, compared to 6.2860 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3702 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6563
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2860

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 0.2130 UGX (High: 6.6074 / Low: 6.3944). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0824 UGX (High: 6.1743 / Low: 6.0919).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2130
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0824

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1449 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1449

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 6.8465) against the same month in 2020 (average: 6.2268), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6197 (+9.95%).

2021 Avg (January) 6.8465
2020 Avg (January) 6.2268

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9453 6.7621 6.8465
February 6.8111 6.6819 6.7610
March 6.7448 6.5409 6.6425
April 6.6621 6.5508 6.6129
May 6.6319 6.5101 6.5791
June 6.6074 6.3944 6.4959
July 6.4480 6.3530 6.4025
August 6.4273 6.2907 6.3479
September 6.3914 6.2566 6.3342
October 6.4354 6.2554 6.3246
November 6.2908 6.1003 6.1797
December 6.1743 6.0919 6.1273