YEARLY HIGH
0.6178 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.4987 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5428 MOP

2016 ARS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.6178. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.4987.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1191 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5913 to the December average rate of 0.5047, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6178 was down 34.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9415, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,089 MOP
2015 Average 4,338 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,493 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 595.51 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

ट्रेंड विज़ुअलाइज़ेशन

2016 के दौरान महीने के औसत उतार-चढ़ाव।

0.6000
0.4960
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5596, compared to 0.5261 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0335 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5596
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5261

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0622 MOP (High: 0.5700 / Low: 0.5078). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0083 MOP (High: 0.5290 / Low: 0.5206).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0622
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0083

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0488 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0488

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.5913) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9299), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3386 (-36.41%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.5913
2015 Avg (January) 0.9299

महीने का ब्रेकडाउन

हर कैलेंडर महीने के लिए स्टैटिस्टिकल समरी।

Month High Low Average
January 0.6178 0.5762 0.5913
February 0.5700 0.5078 0.5425
March 0.5526 0.5088 0.5363
April 0.5691 0.5407 0.5551
May 0.5749 0.5590 0.5663
June 0.5815 0.5244 0.5659
July 0.5477 0.5307 0.5365
August 0.5449 0.5316 0.5385
September 0.5351 0.5208 0.5294
October 0.5290 0.5206 0.5262
November 0.5349 0.5064 0.5213
December 0.5162 0.4987 0.5047