YEARLY HIGH
9.4930 BTN
YEARLY LOW
8.0846 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.7221 BTN

2018 HKD to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HKD to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 9.4930. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 8.0846.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4083 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.1372 to the December average rate of 9.0321, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.00% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.4930 was up 7.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.7980, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 HKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 237,324 BTN
2017 Average 208,771 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 202,116 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,207.63 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

9.5148
8.0120
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HKD to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3771, compared to 9.0672 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6901 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3771
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.0672

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.4879 BTN (High: 9.3893 / Low: 8.9014). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0662 BTN (High: 8.3270 / Low: 8.2608).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4879
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0662

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2124 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 9.3896) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.3398), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0498 (+12.59%).

2018 Avg (October) 9.3896
2017 Avg (October) 8.3398

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.2022 8.0846 8.1372
February 8.3284 8.1421 8.2304
March 8.3270 8.2608 8.2933
April 8.5195 8.2498 8.3671
May 8.6993 8.4778 8.5987
June 8.7585 8.5336 8.6357
July 8.7925 8.7159 8.7502
August 9.0388 8.7232 8.8603
September 9.3012 9.0388 9.1939
October 9.4930 9.2998 9.3896
November 9.3893 8.9014 9.1772
December 9.2124 8.9051 9.0321