YEARLY HIGH
4.2096 ARS
YEARLY LOW
3.4121 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9426 ARS

2021 HNL to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the HNL to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 4.2096. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 3.4121.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7974 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5431 to the December average rate of 4.1940, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4.2096 was up 21.08% compared to the 2020 peak of 3.4766, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,048 ARS
2020 Average 14,277 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 17,061 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,987.02 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4.2591
3.4781
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7783, compared to 4.1068 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3285 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7783
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1068

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.2051 ARS (High: 3.6172 / Low: 3.4121). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0344 ARS (High: 4.2096 / Low: 4.1752).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2051
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0344

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0093 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 4.1940) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.4058), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7882 (+23.14%).

2021 Avg (December) 4.1940
2020 Avg (December) 3.4058

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6172 3.4121 3.5431
February 3.7313 3.6114 3.6588
March 3.8152 3.7083 3.7600
April 3.8872 3.8021 3.8466
May 3.9369 3.8708 3.9030
June 4.0029 3.9287 3.9583
July 4.0766 3.9915 4.0288
August 4.0997 4.0416 4.0850
September 4.0926 4.0572 4.0757
October 4.1294 4.0815 4.1049
November 4.1783 4.1286 4.1526
December 4.2096 4.1752 4.1940