YEARLY HIGH
0.0745 AZN
YEARLY LOW
0.0695 AZN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0711 AZN

2018 HNL to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 0.0745. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 0.0695.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0049 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0716 to the December average rate of 0.0702, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0745 was down 10.14% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0829, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 372 AZN
2017 Average 367 AZN
Yearly Trough Low 348 AZN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24.67 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0721
0.0700
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0716, compared to 0.0706 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0716
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0706

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0049 AZN (High: 0.0745 / Low: 0.0695). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 AZN (High: 0.0709 / Low: 0.0706).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0049
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0702) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0718), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0016 (-2.25%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0702
2017 Avg (December) 0.0718

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0721 0.0711 0.0716
February 0.0720 0.0713 0.0716
March 0.0721 0.0714 0.0718
April 0.0720 0.0716 0.0719
May 0.0720 0.0712 0.0716
June 0.0715 0.0708 0.0710
July 0.0714 0.0708 0.0710
August 0.0713 0.0708 0.0709
September 0.0709 0.0706 0.0708
October 0.0711 0.0706 0.0707
November 0.0709 0.0698 0.0701
December 0.0745 0.0695 0.0702