YEARLY HIGH
4.2702 CVE
YEARLY LOW
3.7534 CVE
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9180 CVE

2018 HNL to CVE Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to CVE exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 4.2702. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 3.7534.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5169 CVE. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8428 to the December average rate of 4.0057, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.2702 was down 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,351 CVE
2017 Average 20,897 CVE
Yearly Trough Low 18,767 CVE
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,584.43 CVE purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0265
3.7770
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to CVE Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8553, compared to 3.9806 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1252 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8553
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9806

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.3187 CVE (High: 4.2702 / Low: 3.9515). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0594 CVE (High: 3.9693 / Low: 3.9099).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.3187
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0594

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0471 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0471

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.0057) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9533), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0523 (+1.32%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.0057
2017 Avg (December) 3.9533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9272 3.7534 3.8428
February 3.8436 3.7536 3.7983
March 3.8401 3.7579 3.7978
April 3.8702 3.7739 3.8108
May 3.9914 3.8827 3.9288
June 3.9817 3.8794 3.9536
July 3.9693 3.9099 3.9440
August 4.0625 3.9367 3.9892
September 3.9726 3.8920 3.9421
October 4.0676 3.9580 3.9991
November 4.0538 3.9599 4.0032
December 4.2702 3.9515 4.0057