YEARLY HIGH
59.1296 MMK
YEARLY LOW
51.3514 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
54.2690 MMK

2016 HNL to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 59.1296. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 7, dropping to 51.3514.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.7782 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 57.9321 to the December average rate of 57.8651, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 59.1296 was down 1.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 60.2709, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 295,648 MMK
2015 Average 255,477 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 256,757 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 38,891.08 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

58.5507
51.1272
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 53.9333, compared to 54.6047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6714 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 53.9333
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 54.6047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 3.4091 MMK (High: 57.6963 / Low: 54.2873). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8900 MMK (High: 52.4826 / Low: 51.5926).

February Spread (Volatile) ±3.4091
May Spread (Stable) ±0.8900

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.7061 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7061

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 57.8651) against the same month in 2015 (average: 59.3229), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4579 (-2.46%).

2016 Avg (December) 57.8651
2015 Avg (December) 59.3229

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 58.6782 57.4758 57.9321
February 57.6963 54.2873 55.2260
March 54.8707 53.3358 53.8078
April 53.8169 51.5530 52.4051
May 52.4826 51.5926 51.9231
June 52.7443 51.7068 52.3055
July 52.2810 51.3514 51.7459
August 52.9380 51.7567 52.1964
September 55.0335 52.4431 53.7918
October 56.5973 54.5066 55.7025
November 56.8513 55.7313 56.3263
December 59.1296 56.6497 57.8651