2016 HNL to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.7656 MRO

YEARLY LOW

13.8084 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.4179 MRO

2016 HNL to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 20, valuing the pair at 15.7656. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 13.8084.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9573 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.9170 to the December average rate of 15.3533, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.7656 was up 2.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 15.4541, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 78,828 MRO

2015 Average 71,282 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 69,042 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,786.34 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

15.7534

14.8409

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.3052, compared to 15.5305 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2254 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.3052

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.5305

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.5519 MRO (High: 15.3602 / Low: 13.8084). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1013 MRO (High: 15.5923 / Low: 15.4909).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.5519

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1694 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1694

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 15.5728) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.2853), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2876 (+9.01%).

2016 Avg (May) 15.5728

2015 Avg (May) 14.2853

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.3602	13.8084	14.9170
February	15.2946	14.5875	15.1453
March	15.3184	15.1213	15.2048
April	15.4189	15.1443	15.3137
May	15.7656	15.1768	15.5728
June	15.7512	15.6062	15.6773
July	15.6348	15.5086	15.5863
August	15.5923	15.4909	15.5486
September	15.6363	15.5293	15.5751
October	15.6990	15.4943	15.5974
November	15.7326	15.3988	15.5226
December	15.4186	15.2750	15.3533