YEARLY HIGH
0.1725 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.1604 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1672 RON

2026 HNL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the HNL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 24, valuing the pair at 0.1725. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 0.1604.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0121 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1644 to the December average rate of 0.1699, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.1725 was down 9.70% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.1910, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 862 RON
2025 Average 859 RON
Yearly Trough Low 802 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 60.46 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.1720
0.1620
JanuMarcMayJuly

HNL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1662, compared to 0.1705 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1662
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1705

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0058 RON (High: 0.1662 / Low: 0.1604). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 RON (High: 0.1703 / Low: 0.1695).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0058
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 0.1705) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.1677), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0028 (+1.70%).

2026 Avg (June) 0.1705
2025 Avg (June) 0.1677

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1662 0.1604 0.1644
February 0.1639 0.1615 0.1629
March 0.1686 0.1632 0.1662
April 0.1671 0.1620 0.1639
May 0.1696 0.1667 0.1691
June 0.1725 0.1687 0.1705
July 0.1719 0.1697 0.1711
August 0.1703 0.1695 0.1699