YEARLY HIGH
10870.0217 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.4212 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5269.4244 VEF

2018 HNL to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 10870.0217. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.4212.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10869.6006 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4276 to the December average rate of 10243.6319, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2395382.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10870.0217 was up 2337143.83% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4651, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,350,109 VEF
2017 Average 2,152 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 2,106 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 54,348,002.76 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11363.6315
-1032.5909
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1788.5781, compared to 8750.2707 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6961.6927 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1788.5781
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8750.2707

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 5969.5508 VEF (High: 10403.7212 / Low: 4434.1704). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0233 VEF (High: 0.4445 / Low: 0.4212).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5969.5508
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 81.1514 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -81.1514

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 10243.6319) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4359), the exchange rate shifted by +10243.1960 (+2350025.58%).

2018 Avg (December) 10243.6319
2017 Avg (December) 0.4359

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4445 0.4212 0.4276
February 1226.3877 0.4227 692.2353
March 1702.9833 1225.5829 1539.5813
April 2826.4933 1696.5175 2114.2149
May 3348.7093 2906.7597 3050.8719
June 3356.4888 3324.0207 3334.1374
July 4448.3486 3322.2453 3796.7871
August 10403.7212 4434.1704 7574.8250
September 10351.6529 10305.7318 10330.6130
October 10373.5448 10299.3186 10318.4594
November 10356.9844 10185.6246 10237.3080
December 10870.0217 10150.0170 10243.6319